Marketa Vondrousova vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Rybakina holds a slight advantage by winning 43.39% of points compared to Vondrousova's 40.7%. Could this be a crucial factor in the match outcome?
• Analyzing return game proficiency, Vondrousova excels, winning 51.58% of her opponents' second serve points, while Rybakina secures 46.89%. How does this influence their chances?
• When saving breakpoints, Rybakina's recent form shows a success rate of 54.96%, compared to Vondrousova's 50.29%, suggesting a psychological edge under pressure.
• Assessing overall performance from the past year, Rybakina has won 71.88% of her matches, slightly better than Vondrousova's 68% success rate. Does this give Rybakina the upper hand?
• Rybakina thrives on Grass with a win percentage of 73%, whereas Vondrousova's strongest surface is Indoor Hard at 81%.
• Examining their level of play, Rybakina competes mainly in Masters events, winning 64.29% of these matches, whereas Vondrousova's focus on Main tour matches sees her winning 80%.
• Having faced each other twice before, each player has one victory, showing they are evenly matched historically.
• Their previous matchup in Rome saw Rybakina emerging victorious, with a straight-sets win.
• Both are yet to play a deciding set or a tiebreak against each other, offering no insights into extreme pressure scenarios.
• Rybakina has faced opponents with an average rank of 66.97, compared to Vondrousova's tougher opposition averaging a rank of 45.76.
• In deciding sets across the last 12 months, Vondrousova has a slightly higher win percentage at 56% against Rybakina’s 55%.
• Rybakina's breakpoint conversion rate is currently 30.81%, compared to Vondrousova's 33.33%, illustrating a slight edge for Vondrousova in pivotal moments.

Editorial Prediction (August 31, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Rybakina and Vondrousova promises to be a close contest, considering their evenly split past encounters. Rybakina's ability to perform under breakpoint situations gives her a psychological advantage, though Vondrousova's stronger return game is formidable.

While Rybakina showcases her strength on the grass, this does not align well with Vondrousova's proficiency on indoor hard surfaces, suggesting surface preference may not factor heavily in this matchup.

Deciding sets and tiebreaks, often decisive, present an uncharted territory between these competitors, adding intrigue to the match dynamics. Yet, Vondrousova's encounters with better-ranked opponents potentially equips her for facing Rybakina's game.

Considering the blend of performance trends, Rybakina's slight edge in overall match success, and clutch-moment resilience, favors her slightly as the probable winner in this forthcoming match-up against Vondrousova.